← All episodes

AI Crackdown, ETF Flood

April 24, 2026 · 13:10

Opening

Friday, April 24th. Here's what matters today. The Trump administration is launching a formal crackdown on Chinese firms stealing capabilities from American AI models. Bitcoin ETFs just logged over 2 billion dollars in inflows in 8 days, with BlackRock's IBIT now holding a record 806,700 BTC. Goldman Sachs files for a Bitcoin income ETF built on a covered-call strategy. Anthropic's CEO heads to the White House over safety concerns about its new frontier model, Mythos. And El Salvador's Bukele hits a 94% approval rating while still stacking sats daily. Let's get into it.

White House Targets AI Theft and Mythos Safety

The Trump administration drew a hard line this week on what it calls industrial-scale theft of American AI. White House chief science and technology adviser Michael Kratsios laid out the problem bluntly: foreign actors, particularly China-based firms, are using proxy accounts and jailbreaking techniques to extract capabilities from closed-source U.S. models. The administration calls this model extraction, essentially distillation of proprietary AI at scale.

The plan involves partnering directly with U.S. AI companies to identify these activities, build defenses, and impose punishments on offenders. A bipartisan House Foreign Affairs Committee is backing a bill that would sanction foreign actors caught extracting key features from American models. OpenAI and Anthropic have both accused Chinese firms, including DeepSeek, of this kind of activity. And with China narrowing the AI performance gap, there's real urgency here.

Speaking of Anthropic, the company's CEO Dario Amodei is meeting with the White House chief of staff to discuss safety risks around Mythos, Anthropic's new frontier model. Mythos sits above their Opus-class models in a new architecture tier they're calling Capybara. It brings expanded context windows, stronger reasoning, and what Anthropic describes as principled usefulness, meaning it's tuned to fact-check, flag gaps, and self-critique rather than just producing the first plausible answer.

But Mythos also raises serious dual-use concerns. It can reconstruct attack chains, simulate attacker thinking for red-teaming, and propose mitigations, capabilities that are powerful in the right hands and dangerous in the wrong ones. The rollout is enterprise-first, limited preview only, with red-team guardrails, context-integrity controls, and full audit-trail tooling for every prompt and response.

The White House meeting signals that regulators are moving beyond hearings into model-specific audits and potentially deployment moratoria or license-like controls. There's talk of a multi-stakeholder consortium spanning industry, academia, civil society, and government to standardize safety practices and share threat intelligence.

What's happening here is a two-front escalation. On one side, the U.S. is trying to prevent foreign extraction of its AI advantage. On the other, it's wrestling with how to govern the most powerful models being built domestically. Both conversations are accelerating fast.

Bitcoin ETF Tidal Wave and Goldman's Income Play

Let's talk about where the money is actually flowing. Bitcoin ETFs just pulled in over 2 billion dollars in net inflows over 8 days, the first streak like that since October. BlackRock's IBIT has been the dominant force, logging a 12-day buying streak and pushing its total holdings to an all-time high of 806,700 BTC, valued at roughly 63.7 billion dollars. One single day saw nearly 970 million dollars flow into IBIT alone. Fidelity's FBTC added smaller but consistent inflows alongside it.

This is institutional money, not retail. Pension funds, endowments, wealth managers — they're using the regulated ETF wrapper as their on-ramp into Bitcoin. And yet, the picture isn't perfectly clean. On-chain data shows profit-taking by short-term holders is running at about 3 times the rate that has marked every local top this year. So you've got ETFs buying aggressively while faster hands are quietly selling into that demand. That tension is worth watching.

Bitcoin itself is trading around 77,500 to 79,000, still about 38% below its October 2025 peak near 125,700. Analysts say a sustained daily close above 80,000 would strengthen the case for a real trend reversal. April is on pace for the best monthly gains since Q4 2024, but the market needs to prove it can hold these levels.

Now, here's where it gets interesting on the product side. Goldman Sachs filed with the SEC for something called the Goldman Sachs Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. This isn't a spot Bitcoin fund. It invests at least 80% of net assets in Bitcoin-linked ETFs like IBIT and FBTC, then sells call options against those positions to generate monthly income. The overwrite level sits between 40% and 100% of exposure, which means upside is capped in strong rallies but you get steady premium income.

Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas called it boomer candy, and honestly that's about right. It's designed for the Goldman distribution network, advisors managing money for clients who want Bitcoin exposure but also want yield and downside cushion. It follows Morgan Stanley's spot Bitcoin ETF launch and signals that Wall Street's crypto product war is fully underway. A possible mid-June launch is the timeline if the SEC review runs standard.

Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley is positioning itself as a reserve manager for the entire stablecoin industry, launching a money market fund specifically for stablecoin issuers. The minimum investment is 10 million dollars. Traditional finance isn't just touching Bitcoin anymore. It's building infrastructure around it.

Mining Industry Splits and Energy Expansion

The Bitcoin mining industry is going through a real identity crisis right now. Public miners sold over 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026, the highest quarterly liquidation since the 2022 bear market. Hashprice is stuck in the low 30 dollar per petahash range, near all-time lows, which is crushing margins for anyone running older machines or paying higher electricity rates. Network difficulty is roughly 10 times what it was in 2021, and the 2024 halving cut block rewards in half. The math just doesn't work for a lot of operators anymore.

So the industry is splitting in two. One camp is selling into weakness to stay liquid and cover costs. The other camp, led by names like American Bitcoin, which is part of Hut 8, is doing the opposite — accumulating BTC through both mining and market purchases, treating the downturn as a buying opportunity. Reserves across public miners have declined from over 100,000 BTC in late 2024 as the liquidation trend takes hold.

But even in this squeeze, new projects keep launching. Soluna expanded its partnership with Blockware, adding 3.3 megawatts at the Dorothy 1B site in West Texas, co-located behind the meter with the Briscoe Wind Farm. This is Soluna's model: absorb excess renewable energy directly and convert it into compute, whether that's Bitcoin mining or AI workloads. Blockware now has over 17 megawatts deployed across Soluna sites.

Bluebird Mining Ventures, a London-listed company, announced a 4.8 megawatt Bitcoin mining project in Texas with about 2.3 million dollars committed over 3 years. It's their first revenue-generating venture. They plan to hold uncommitted funds in Bitcoin or Tether Gold before recycling into yield strategies.

And then there's Metaplanet, the Japanese company that keeps finding creative ways to stack Bitcoin. They just issued 8 billion yen, about 50 million dollars, in zero-interest bonds to fund more BTC purchases. Zero-coupon debt to buy Bitcoin. That's the kind of conviction that either looks brilliant or reckless depending on where price goes from here.

One more thing worth flagging. CryptoSlate reported that Admiral Samuel Paparo, head of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, disclosed to the Senate Armed Services Committee that INDOPACOM is running a Bitcoin node and treating Bitcoin's protocol architecture as operationally relevant for securing networks. A U.S. military command running a Bitcoin node for national security purposes. That's a sentence that would have sounded insane 5 years ago.

Bukele Bitcoin and Nation-State Adoption

El Salvador's Nayib Bukele now holds the highest approval rating of any world leader, at 94% across a survey of 26 heads of state. The country that made Bitcoin legal tender in 2021 holds over 7,600 BTC in its national reserve and continues buying about 1 BTC per day.

Now, let's be honest about what's driving that approval number. It's not Bitcoin. It's security. Bukele's aggressive crackdown on gang violence transformed El Salvador from one of the most dangerous countries in the hemisphere to one of the safest. Vice President Felix Ulloa credits a combination of mass detentions of gang members, institutional reforms, and digital modernization. The security gains created the stability that made everything else possible, including the tech push.

And that tech push is real. El Salvador has distributed over 1.5 million devices to public schools, implemented electronic billing and signatures, established a digital assets commission, and attracted more than 60 international companies with incentives like 15-plus years of tax exemption for innovative firms. Bitcoin as legal tender is one piece of a broader digital-forward governance agenda.

The more interesting question is what this means for nation-state Bitcoin adoption as a trend. Mati Greenspan at Quantum Economics argues that the next major cycle driver won't be retail or even institutions, it'll be governments and central banks incorporating Bitcoin into reserves alongside gold. He frames adoption history in 4 waves: 2013 was early adopters, 2017 was mass retail, 2021 was institutional, and the next wave is nation-states.

Michael Saylor declared this week that the Bitcoin winter is over, citing the shift toward institutional ownership. Not everyone agrees. Jason Fernandes points to persistent altcoin weakness as a counterargument. But the structural trend toward Bitcoin specifically, not crypto broadly, gaining legitimacy at the sovereign level is hard to dismiss.

South Korea's Lee Jae-myung, sitting at 63% approval, is pursuing crypto-forward economic plans including potential spot Bitcoin ETFs and a won-backed stablecoin. Even the U.S. has its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve executive order. The political calculus is shifting. Embracing Bitcoin hasn't hurt any leader's approval ratings, and in Bukele's case, it coincides with the highest popularity on the planet.

Whether Bitcoin is the cause or the correlation, nation-states are paying attention. And that matters more than any single ETF inflow number.

Wrap-Up

Here's the thought to sit with heading into the weekend. Every cycle, the players at the table get bigger. This time it's not just hedge funds and tech companies. It's Goldman Sachs building income products, Morgan Stanley managing stablecoin reserves, a U.S. military command running a Bitcoin node, and sovereign nations stacking sats as policy. The infrastructure being built right now isn't speculative. It's structural. And structural changes don't reverse easily. Have a good weekend.